elfonso

0x004f3c...67be33

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.4%

Total P&L

-$78

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.99

Sortino Ratio

58.19

Max Drawdown

167.0%

ROI

-5.7%

Profit Factor

0.10

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	1.3¢	542.976	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	85.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	43.8¢	31.948	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	62.0¢	22.22	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	44.318	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	42.5¢	91.12	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	22.222	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	16.9¢	50	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	43.9¢	91.116	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	56.4¢	60	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	75.0¢	28	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	50.0¢	60	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	79.0¢	4.8	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	79.0¢	23.2	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	67.0¢	29.7	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	41.0¢	19.09	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	64.6¢	51.097	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	50.0¢	67.11	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	70.0¢	67.114	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity82 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$2000d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue