EchoSpec

0xa93234...f7c76e

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.8%

Total P&L

+$71

Trade Count

205

Sharpe Ratio

-0.68

Sortino Ratio

-1.27

Max Drawdown

453.8%

ROI

2.1%

Profit Factor

2.36

Kelly Fraction

0.120

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	24.9¢	100.367	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	20.2¢	100.11	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	44.8¢	100.112	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	34.7¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	30.0¢	73.13	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	30.6¢	26.98	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	23.7¢	145.47	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.8¢	101.25	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.8¢	101.25	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	35.6¢	100.112	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.7¢	145.475	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	109.95	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	86.7¢	109.95	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	29.3¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	8.1¢	202.86	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.9¢	100.27	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	23.6¢	100.818	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.7¢	100.27	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	9.8¢	102.041	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.1¢	120	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.0%

Win Consistency44.9%

Profit Factor0.17

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity205 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1117d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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