Smart Score
32
Win Rate
21.4%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
7.09
Sortino Ratio
110.19
Max Drawdown
16.3%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
0.46
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
031.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETBUY78.0¢1.282Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETBUY78.9¢1.267Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢715.21Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢715.213Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY27.9¢3.584Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETBUY63.0¢1.587Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETBUY68.0¢1.471Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL99.1¢717.09Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY99.2¢717.097Mar 5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.3¢723.66Mar 5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.4¢723.669Mar 5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢720.74Mar 5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢720.748Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢722.21Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢722.217Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.6¢724.69Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.7¢724.691Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.3¢720.32Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%13%20–30%30–50%31%50–70%13%70–80%80–90%44%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.0%
Win Consistency35.7%
Profit Factor0.83
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

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