DGREG23

0xca9a2c...3f1105

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.7%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

412

Sharpe Ratio

-1.14

Sortino Ratio

-1.27

Max Drawdown

2781.0%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.05

Kelly Fraction

0.032

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	17.172	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	75.1¢	8.02	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.5¢	7.25	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	15.39	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.3¢	7.47	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	8.25	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	93.8¢	7.463	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	6.085	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	80.2¢	12.4	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BUY	80.7¢	12.392	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.7¢	10.33	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.8¢	10.331	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	9.18	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	7.246	Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	9.184	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	8.65	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BUY	80.9¢	8.653	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.9%

Win Consistency46.0%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity412 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$5826d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue