devarajn

0x5d6de1...fd6a0e

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.0%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.69

Sortino Ratio

-3.55

Max Drawdown

56374.9%

ROI

1687.7%

Profit Factor

177.99

Kelly Fraction

0.298

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	15.0¢	6.57	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	96.0¢	1.03	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.2¢	1.04	Mar 5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	15.2¢	6.579	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 6?	SELL	28.9¢	2.97	Mar 5
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	27.0¢	3.57	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 6?	BUY	33.6¢	2.976	Mar 4
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.7¢	2.38	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	41.9¢	2.387	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	SELL	47.0¢	2.09	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	47.7¢	2.096	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	97.4¢	1.03	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.5¢	1.026	Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	96.4¢	1.03	Mar 2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.5¢	1.036	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	1	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Mar 2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	19.0¢	5	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	21.2¢	4.48	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.6%

Win Consistency30.4%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity53 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

+$61d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue