daviddd-965

0xf67a30...85893c

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.3%

Total P&L

-$38

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

36149.2%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.04

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	11.477	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	12.133	Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	81.0¢	13.04	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	BUY	99.6¢	12.861	Feb 10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	92.0¢	13.043	Feb 10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?	BUY	99.6¢	12.741	Jan 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	12.06	Jan 6
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	24.694	Dec 24
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	24.618	Nov 9
Will Solana reach $270 in October?	BUY	99.3¢	24.522	Oct 24
Will Solana dip to $100 in September?	BUY	99.9¢	24.354	Sep 25
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	24.323	Aug 25
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	24.253	Jul 14
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?	BUY	99.6¢	24.177	Jun 26
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?	BUY	93.8¢	37.399	May 8
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?	BUY	96.4¢	35.073	Apr 2
Will Solana hit $210 in March?	SELL	99.9¢	12.5	Mar 28
Will Solana hit $210 in March?	SELL	99.9¢	20.76	Mar 28
Will Solana hit $210 in March?	SELL	99.9¢	0.59	Mar 28
Will Solana hit $210 in March?	BUY	95.1¢	33.859	Mar 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.7%

Win Consistency72.7%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity12 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1840d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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