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darionaharis

0x881d1a...81e27d
#14929 overall · top 70.88%
Smart Score
5
Win Rate
42.9%
Total P&L
+$213
Trade Count
18
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43
Sortino Ratio
-0.88
Max Drawdown
112.9%
ROI
5.1%
Profit Factor
1.34
Kelly Fraction
0.108
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY31.0¢322.581Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY28.0¢714.286Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY23.0¢217.391Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY23.0¢217.391Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY38.0¢263.158Mar 2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY32.0¢312.5Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL99.8¢1,632.94Mar 1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY35.1¢484.356Feb 4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY25.1¢79.54Feb 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL19.0¢1,000Feb 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY20.0¢187.45Feb 2
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY57.0¢35.088Jan 30
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY45.0¢44.444Jan 30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY1.5¢333.333Jan 29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL1.8¢2,631.57Jan 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY43.0¢581.395Jan 15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY19.0¢2,631.579Jan 15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY39.0¢1,864.103Jan 13

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%7%10–20%33%20–30%47%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.9%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.14
Drawdown Resilience0.11
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11
Weekly Sharpe est.0.09
Trading Activity18 trades · 12 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4822d profit9d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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