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darian304cullen

0xa5ef77...dff439
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
75.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
32
Sharpe Ratio
-1.86
Sortino Ratio
-1.93
Max Drawdown
1399.6%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
10.44
Kelly Fraction
0.678
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.3¢748Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.3¢906Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.5¢1,816Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.4¢1,816Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.2¢1,897Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY94.2¢1,897Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL1.3¢1,646.04Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL1.3¢158.96Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY1.3¢1,805Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢1,809Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢1,809Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.9¢63Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL98.0¢110Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL98.0¢1,485Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.9¢10Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.9¢1,648Mar 3
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.5¢1,648Mar 2
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢1,648Mar 2
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL98.7¢1,809Mar 1
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY98.7¢1,809Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%93%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.5%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.67
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity32 trades · 8 active days
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,6242d profit4d loss
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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