danikmotoski

0x6604fc...633362

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.0%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.38

Sortino Ratio

27.05

Max Drawdown

3085.9%

ROI

-7.3%

Profit Factor

0.78

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	64.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	13.158	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	80.0¢	8.75	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	19.7¢	24.331	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	79.0¢	12.658	Mar 1
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	25	Mar 1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	47.0¢	21.277	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	72.5¢	13.793	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	2.0¢	500	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	37.03	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	37.037	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	21.5¢	13.929	Jan 22

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.79

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.0%

Win Consistency30.0%

Profit Factor0.37

Drawdown Resilience0.30

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30

Weekly Sharpe est.0.23

Trading Activity12 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$471d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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