Commandoe

0x4440c1...810702

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.4%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

124

Sharpe Ratio

0.24

Sortino Ratio

0.48

Max Drawdown

87.3%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.64

Kelly Fraction

0.346

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.5¢	3.249	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.9¢	20.68	Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	43.8¢	20.685	Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	71.8¢	8.71	Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	76.2¢	8.714	Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	12.19	Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	67.4¢	12.196	Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.3¢	2.18	Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.5¢	2.188	Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	94.9¢	9.54	Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.9¢	9.546	Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	98.2¢	8.76	Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	96.4¢	8.766	Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	98.3¢	1.974	Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	95.1¢	6.82	Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	89.4¢	6.823	Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	1.19	Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BUY	96.4¢	1.193	Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	97.6¢	6.17	Nov 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	97.3¢	6.177	Nov 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.6%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.70

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity43 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$2119d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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