cesistar

0x45c8d7...49a986

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

-$16

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.19

Sortino Ratio

-0.88

Max Drawdown

29.1%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

0.14

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	43.043	Mar 5
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	50.05	Mar 4
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	50.05	Mar 4
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves	BUY	14.0¢	40.714	Mar 3
Wizards vs. Magic	BUY	11.0¢	37.273	Mar 3
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	52.1	Mar 3
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	52.104	Mar 2
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	66.06	Mar 2
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	66.066	Mar 2
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	70.14	Mar 2
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	70.14	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	53.1	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	53.106	Feb 28
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Feb 28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	41.206	Feb 28
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	57	Feb 28
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.7¢	57	Feb 27
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	99.7¢	66.13	Feb 27
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.8¢	66.132	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.26

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.4%

Win Consistency46.4%

Profit Factor0.12

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity50 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$1237d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue