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bvcwer

0xdb2798...4c6b3d
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
61.1%
Total P&L
-$2.2K
Trade Count
278
Sharpe Ratio
0.77
Sortino Ratio
2.57
Max Drawdown
2114.3%
ROI
-24.1%
Profit Factor
1.46
Kelly Fraction
0.192
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢60Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.3¢60Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?BUY2.2¢130Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?BUY97.9¢130Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢80Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢80Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY1.5¢110Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY98.6¢110Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.4¢130Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢130Mar 5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.4¢70Mar 5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.7¢70Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢130Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢130Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢130Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢130Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.3¢10Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.8¢10Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.7¢20Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.9¢20Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%4%10–20%4%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%38%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%
Win Consistency44.8%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity278 trades · 10 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,5060d profit10d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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