btb2
0x2cbfa2...b6d035
Smart Score
44
Win Rate
63.6%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
11
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
0.52
Max Drawdown
23.1%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
3.03
Kelly Fraction
0.426
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
044.3/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 1.3¢ | 1,538.462 | Mar 5 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 96.0¢ | 20.833 | Mar 5 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 99.1¢ | 50.454 | Mar 5 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5? | BUY | 99.3¢ | 10.07 | Mar 5 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 99.5¢ | 20.1 | Dec 15 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 95.0¢ | 52.632 | Dec 15 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 96.7¢ | 20.683 | Dec 15 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 97.5¢ | 41.026 | Nov 26 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 98.9¢ | 50.556 | Nov 26 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 98.9¢ | 10.111 | Nov 26 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 98.9¢ | 20.222 | Nov 26 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing44.3
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.3%
Win Consistency63.6%
Profit Factor1.15
Drawdown Resilience0.93
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93
Weekly Sharpe est.0.71
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
Unlock Full Analytics