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Aurorae-Oblivion-Mirage

0xda081b...790aac
#13055 overall · top 61.98%
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
30.4%
Total P&L
+$8
Trade Count
35
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Sortino Ratio
0.01
Max Drawdown
1100.0%
ROI
19.6%
Profit Factor
2.48
Kelly Fraction
0.182
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?SELL99.2¢1.22Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢1.146Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.4¢1.27Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.6¢1.116Mar 5
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY98.3¢1.15Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?BUY99.3¢1.229Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.5¢1.276Mar 5
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL96.0¢1.14Mar 5
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY96.1¢1.145Mar 5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL98.2¢1.38Feb 28
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.3¢1.383Feb 28
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.4¢1.11Feb 28
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.5¢1.115Feb 28
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.4¢1.36Feb 28
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢1.36Feb 28
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.4¢1.45Feb 28
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢1.452Feb 28
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.5¢1.36Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL99.8¢1.36Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.361Feb 28

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%4%10–20%8%20–30%12%30–50%16%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%52%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.6%
Win Consistency39.1%
Profit Factor0.27
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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