What is the probability for "Would a simulated distribution of Jose Luis Ricon/Claire Wang offspring predict at least 50% of their kids w/ IQ 140" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Would a simulated distribution of Jose Luis Ricon/Claire Wang offspring predict at least 50% of their kids w/ IQ > 140" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 62% with 3 traders and $23 in volume.