What is the probability for "Will XQ flight 172 from Antalya to Hamburg on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will XQ flight 172 from Antalya to Hamburg on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 73% with 3 traders and $14 in volume.

Will XQ flight 172 from Antalya to Hamburg on 2023-08-31 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution