Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

Yes10%

Yes Pool

$685

No Pool

$995

Probability

10%

Volume$762

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$1K

Traders12

CreatorGadersd

ClosesJan 1, 2030

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use