What is the probability for "Will WN flight 300 from Washington to Providence on 2023-08-22 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will WN flight 300 from Washington to Providence on 2023-08-22 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 9 traders and $425 in volume.

Will WN flight 300 from Washington to Providence on 2023-08-22 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution