What is the probability for "Will WN flight 300 from Washington to Providence on 2023-09-01 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will WN flight 300 from Washington to Providence on 2023-09-01 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 93% with 5 traders and $47 in volume.

Will WN flight 300 from Washington to Providence on 2023-09-01 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution