What is the probability for "Will WMT flight 5520 from Porto to Milan on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will WMT flight 5520 from Porto to Milan on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 5 traders and $182 in volume.

Will WMT flight 5520 from Porto to Milan on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?