What is the probability for "Will WMT flight 3268 from Dubai to Bucharest on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will WMT flight 3268 from Dubai to Bucharest on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 8 traders and $575 in volume.

Will WMT flight 3268 from Dubai to Bucharest on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution