What is the probability for "Will "Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?" resolve consistently with "AlphaCode AI is as good as the median human competitor in competitive programming" in its description?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 80% with 31 traders and $3K in volume.

Will "Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?" resolve consistently with "AlphaCode AI is as good as the median human competitor in competitive programming" in its description?

Resolution