What is the probability for "Will we train GPT-4 to generate resolution criteria better than the creator 50% of the time by the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 30 traders and $6K in volume.

Will we train GPT-4 to generate resolution criteria better than the creator 50% of the time by the end of 2023?

Resolution