Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will we know GPT-5-Pro's METR 50% Time-Horizon before November?

ManifoldResolved: NOBINARY · cpmm-1

Will we know GPT-5-Pro's METR 50% Time-Horizon before November?

Yes21%

Yes Pool

$2K

No Pool

$515

Resolution

NO

Probability

21%

Volume$1K

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$1K

Traders10

CreatorBayesian

ClosesOct 31, 2025

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use