What is the probability for "Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to 1 top ML conference by 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 6% with 90 traders and $10K in volume.

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2025?