What is the probability for "Will WA flight 1763 from Amsterdam to Frankfurt on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will WA flight 1763 from Amsterdam to Frankfurt on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 100% with 8 traders and $3K in volume.

Will WA flight 1763 from Amsterdam to Frankfurt on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

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