What is the probability for "Will W9A flight 2503 from Riga to London on 2023-09-16 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will W9A flight 2503 from Riga to London on 2023-09-16 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 3 traders and $21 in volume.

Will W9A flight 2503 from Riga to London on 2023-09-16 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?