What is the probability for "Will W6 flight 2410 from Malmo to Budapest on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will W6 flight 2410 from Malmo to Budapest on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 4 traders and $302 in volume.

Will W6 flight 2410 from Malmo to Budapest on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution