What is the probability for "Will W6 flight 1746 from Bergen to Gdansk on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will W6 flight 1746 from Bergen to Gdansk on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 5 traders and $401 in volume.

Will W6 flight 1746 from Bergen to Gdansk on 2023-09-26 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution