What is the probability for "Will W6 flight 1592 from Lisbon to Warsaw on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will W6 flight 1592 from Lisbon to Warsaw on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 11 traders and $5K in volume.

Will W6 flight 1592 from Lisbon to Warsaw on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

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