What is the probability for "Will UO flight 651 from Tokyo to Hong Kong on 2023-09-17 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will UO flight 651 from Tokyo to Hong Kong on 2023-09-17 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 98% with 4 traders and $202 in volume.

Will UO flight 651 from Tokyo to Hong Kong on 2023-09-17 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution