What is the probability for "Will U2 flight 8320 from Pisa to London on 2023-09-10 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will U2 flight 8320 from Pisa to London on 2023-09-10 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 72% with 7 traders and $93 in volume.

Will U2 flight 8320 from Pisa to London on 2023-09-10 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?