What is the probability for "Will U2 flight 4657 from Paris to Tel Aviv-Yafo on 2023-09-10 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will U2 flight 4657 from Paris to Tel Aviv-Yafo on 2023-09-10 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 38% with 0 traders and $10 in volume.

Will U2 flight 4657 from Paris to Tel Aviv-Yafo on 2023-09-10 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution