What is the probability for "Will TU flight 526 from Tunis to Dusseldorf on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will TU flight 526 from Tunis to Dusseldorf on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 32% with 9 traders and $90 in volume.

Will TU flight 526 from Tunis to Dusseldorf on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution