What is the probability for "Will TSLA reach $280 before 8pm EST on October 31st?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will TSLA reach >$280 before 8pm EST on October 31st?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 41 traders and $11K in volume.

Will TSLA reach >$280 before 8pm EST on October 31st?