What is the probability for "Will True Detective S04 have an average IMDB rating 8.23 on April 30th 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will True Detective S04 have an average IMDB rating >8.23 on April 30th 2024?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 0% with 23 traders and $11K in volume.

Will True Detective S04 have an average IMDB rating >8.23 on April 30th 2024?