Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will training on o1/o3 traces improve GPT-5 performance on a broad set of tasks?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

Will training on o1/o3 traces improve GPT-5 performance on a broad set of tasks?

Yes63%

Yes Pool

$77

No Pool

$130

Probability

63%

Volume$180

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$100

Traders3

CreatorMalachiteEagle

ClosesJan 1, 2029

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use