What is the probability for "Will Tom Cruise make another movie apart from Mission Impossible series in 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Tom Cruise make another movie apart from Mission Impossible series  in 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 13% with 7 traders and $166 in volume.

Will Tom Cruise make another movie apart from Mission Impossible series in 2023?