What is the probability for "Will today's flight UA 5940 (ASE - LAX) be cancelled or substantially delayed?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will today's flight UA 5940 (ASE -> LAX) be cancelled or substantially delayed?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 8 traders and $1K in volume.

Will today's flight UA 5940 (ASE -> LAX) be cancelled or substantially delayed?