What is the probability for "Will TO flight 4781 from Madrid to Paris on 2023-09-20 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will TO flight 4781 from Madrid to Paris on 2023-09-20 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 0 traders and $10 in volume.

Will TO flight 4781 from Madrid to Paris on 2023-09-20 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?