What is the probability for "Will TK flight 2596 from Istanbul to Gazipasa on 2023-09-04 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will TK flight 2596 from Istanbul to Gazipasa on 2023-09-04 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 87% with 8 traders and $102 in volume.

Will TK flight 2596 from Istanbul to Gazipasa on 2023-09-04 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution