What is the probability for "Will this Martian meteorite sell for $5 million at auction?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will this Martian meteorite sell for >$5 million at auction?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 41% with 30 traders and $2K in volume.

Will this Martian meteorite sell for >$5 million at auction?