What is the probability for "Will this Bird Monument sell for 600,000EUR at its upcoming Sotheby's auction? (pic included)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will this Bird Monument sell for >600,000EUR at its upcoming Sotheby's auction? (pic included)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 19 traders and $15K in volume.

Will this Bird Monument sell for >600,000EUR at its upcoming Sotheby's auction? (pic included)