What is the probability for "Will this Artemisia Gentileschi painting sell for $3 million USD at its upcoming Sotheby's auction? (pic included)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will this Artemisia Gentileschi painting sell for >$3 million USD at its upcoming Sotheby's auction? (pic included)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 47% with 16 traders and $8K in volume.

Will this Artemisia Gentileschi painting sell for >$3 million USD at its upcoming Sotheby's auction? (pic included)

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