What is the probability for "Will theWull the S&P 500 index close higher S&P 500 index close higher on Jan. 2 than it closed on Dec.22?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 40% with 5 traders and $89 in volume.

Will theWull the S&P 500 index close higher S&P 500 index close higher on Jan. 2 than it closed on Dec.22?