What is the probability for "Will there be more than 7 companies with market cap of $1T by the end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be more than 7 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 98% with 22 traders and $7K in volume.

Will there be more than 7 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2024?