What is the probability for "Will there be at least three significant acts of sabotage inspired by "How to Blow Up a Pipeline" in US/Canada in 2023?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 8% with 11 traders and $2K in volume.

Will there be at least three significant acts of sabotage inspired by "How to Blow Up a Pipeline" in US/Canada in 2023?

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