What is the probability for "Will there be at least one year by 2030 (incl.) in which real US GDP grows by =10% as measured from a prior peak?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be at least one year by 2030 (incl.) in which real US GDP grows by >=10% as measured from a prior peak?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 30% with 17 traders and $12K in volume.