What is the probability for "Will there be at least 10 Tesla Optimus perfuming tasks autonomously at a Tesla factory by the end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 11% with 16 traders and $538 in volume.

Will there be at least 10 Tesla Optimus perfuming tasks autonomously at a Tesla factory by the end of 2024?

Resolution