What is the probability for "Will there be another plane crash in US airspace with = 10 victims (fatalities) in 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will there be another plane crash in US airspace with >= 10 victims (fatalities) in 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 21 traders and $2K in volume.

Will there be another plane crash in US airspace with >= 10 victims (fatalities) in 2025?